Third Wave Of Covid-19 Likely To Hit India In 6 To 8 Weeks; Deets Inside

As per the latest reports, on Saturday morning, June 19, AIIMS chief Randeep Guleria told NDTV the third wave of Covid-19 could hit the States of India in six to eight weeks, resulting in an ‘inevitable’ behavior. A new frontier needs to be developed in India’s fight against Covid-19 for further studying the mutation of the virus. Contrarily, India’s main challenge will be to increase gaps of doses for Covishield, while vaccinating a huge population. Further, Randeep Guleria added, “It may not be a bad approach to protect covering more people.”

Later, undergoing the discussion Dr. Guleria said, “As we have started unlocking, there is again a lack of Covid-appropriate behavior. We don’t seem to have learned from what happened between the first and the second wave. Again crowds are building up, people are gathering in a large number. It will take some time for the number of cases to start rising at the national level. The third wave is inevitable and it could hit the country within the next six to eight weeks or maybe a little longer.” He added to his statement, “It all depends on how we go ahead in terms of Covid-appropriate behavior and preventing crowds.”

Further, Dr. Guleria said that mini-lockdown in any part of the country, witnessing a surge in daily cases of Covid-19 and a rise in positivity rate beyond 5 percent, will be required. Unless we’re vaccinated, we’re vulnerable in the coming months. The vaccination is the main challenge. The third wave can take up to three months to see a declining graph, but it can also stay for a lesser period of time, depending on various factors. Strict surveillance needs to have adhered to in every State of India. Last time, we saw a new variant that came from outside and developed here, leading to a huge surge in the number of cases. On an obvious note, the virus will, however, continue to mutate. Aggressive surveillance in hotspots is a must!

Also, according to Dr. Guleria’s statement, the gap between the new waves is shortening, standing as the most concerning factor to the people of the country. During the first wave, the virus did not result in rapid action, but during the second wave, we have seen the virus is much more infectious. Now the delta-plus variant (Third-wave) will likely be much more infectious than the second wave, resulting in ‘faster spreading’.

For the delta-plus variant, we need aggressive genome sequencing to see how the virus is behaving. We have to check if the desired result of the vaccine comes down and also if the monoclonal antibody treatment works out. This will be the right new frontier to be developed before the third wave strikes in.

Moving on to today’s cases, India has recorded fresh Covid-19 cases of 60,753, taking the overall count to 2.98 crores. Out of all 28 States, the five most affected States are Maharashtra (by 5,926,919 total cases), Karnataka (by 2,777,752 total cases), Kerala (by 2,786,412 total cases), Tamil Nadu (by 2,406,497 total cases), Andhra Pradesh (by 1,839,243 total cases).

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